StablePicks: Jaipur (27May07-8Bel)
Weigelia enters the Jaipur as the current track-record holder for six furlongs on turf at Belmont Park, set last year in 1:07.04, and also as the main speed. Trainer Michael Trombetta suggests the 6-year-old is doing great, and Eddie Castro is back in for the mount, all making for a logical favorite with very few reasons to doubt.
While Eric Donovan has Weigelia as the 9/2 second choice in the morning line, I would be surprised if he doesn’t go off as the favorite come post time at 4:56pm.
But Carnera stands a chance to spring the upset, and at odds in the ballpark of 12-1, gets the nod to do just that.
Carnera took a minor stake at Saratoga last summer, and has been competitive in several graded stakes. While the six-furlong Jaipur distance may be a bit short for him, he figures to be closing late, and should someone keep Weigelia company early on, may set the table for Carnera to rally late for the upset.
Will He Shine is also an interesting option, obviously dependent on whether he handles the grass or not. And both Congo King and Silver Timber will be closing late, although each will have to step up their games.
StablePicks: 1st — Carnera
…………………..2nd — Weigelia
…………………..3rd — Will He Shine
UPDATE!
**RESULTS**
1st — Ecclesiastic ($50.00)
2nd — Salute the Count
3rd — Weigelia
4 Responses to “StablePicks: Jaipur (27May07-8Bel)”
baron vontap in a surprise!!
Does the fact that Carnera has been announced with ‘two bar shoes on’ cause Kyle to rethink his selection?
Yes, it certainly would have…except they then announced that Carnera did not race in bar shoes - so he remained the top pick.
On the positive side, I was accurate that Weigelia could take some early pressure, and that it may set up for someone off the pace. I would have had a tough time coming up with Ecclesiastic to be the beneficiary, however. Of course, I suppose it was just as simple as: 1) he is trained by H. Allen Jerkens; 2) he is ridden by the suddenly white-hot Javier Castellano.
Javier’s luck changed the day he beat Summer Doldrums on the grass.
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