Breeders’ Cup Analysis, Part 1
With 14 races to get through, it can’t be too soon to start analyzing the Breeders’ Cup races.
Pre-entries were released on Tuesday, and a few initial thoughts on some of the races on Friday (with certainly much more to come):
* The Filly and Mare Sprint will lead things off, with the champ Indian Blessing seemingly the logical favorite. But synthetic surfaces are what drove her to the east coast to start her career, and 7 furlongs may be a bit beyond her best. She will be helped by an outside draw, but is worth taking a shot against with some combination of Tizzy’s Tune, Ventura and Zaftig.
* Next up is the Juvenile Fillies Turf, and presents a nearly impossible affair. Consequence was razor sharp in her career debut at Saratoga, and was outmoved at the head of the lane of the Miss Grillo. She may appreciate the firmer turf and two turns.
Emmy Darling was very sharp in a pair of starts to begin her career, but didn’t show the same explosiveness at Del Mar. Being a daughter of Graeme Hall, the added ground should be to her liking.
Laragh was visually impressive winning the Jessamine last out at Keeneland, a race that will likely earn her favortism.
* The Ladies Classic will offer the shortest priced favorite from the entire two-day program — and for good reason. Zenyatta has been brilliant, and over her home turf, have a hard time envisioning her perfect record gets challenged here. Any number of girls could complete the exotics, although I will take a stand against Carriage Trail, who drifted out very badly in the Spinster last out over a surface she loves.
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